Trade with an edge around todays Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news event

Based on past Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news events there is a 80% chance of USDCHF trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 1.7%. A price movement of 51 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Mar 00:00
29 Jan 00:00
30 Oct 00:00
29 Jun 22:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).