Trade with an edge around todays Germany Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash news event

Based on past Germany Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash news events there is a 75% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 44.5. A price movement of 20 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Oct 07:30
24 Jul 07:30
18 Apr 07:30
22 Mar 08:30
21 Feb 08:30
24 Jan 08:30