Based on past Germany Unemployment Rate news events there is a 72.73% chance of USDCHF trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 5%. A price movement of 62 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jan 19:55	29 Nov 19:55
30 Sep 17:55	29 Aug 17:55
31 Jul 17:55	01 Jul 17:55
30 Apr 17:55	29 Mar 19:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).