Trade with an edge around todays Germany Unemployment Rate news event

Based on past Germany Unemployment Rate news events there is a 71.43% chance of USDCAD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 5.8%. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jun 07:55
01 Jun 07:55
29 Apr 07:55
31 Mar 07:55
01 Sep 07:55