Based on past Germany Unemployment Rate news events there is a 71.43% chance of USDCHF trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 5.6%. A price movement of 26 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jun 17:55	01 Jun 17:55
31 Mar 18:55	05 Jan 19:55
01 Sep 17:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).