Trade with an edge around todays Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index news event

Based on past Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index news events there is a 80% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < -26.4. A price movement of 46 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 21:00
13 Aug 19:00
18 Jun 19:00
14 May 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).