Trade with an edge around todays Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = -0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Apr 14:00
20 Dec 14:00
28 Oct 14:00
21 Jul 13:00
17 Jun 13:00
28 Apr 13:00
18 Jan 14:00
17 Dec 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).