Based on past Japan Consumer Confidence news events there is a 80% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 33. A price movement of 19 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jan 16:00	06 Jan 16:00
29 Oct 16:00	01 Jul 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).