Based on past Japan Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 83.33% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < -0.4%. A price movement of 92 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Jan 10:30	18 Dec 10:30
23 Oct 10:30	22 May 09:30
19 Mar 10:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).