Based on past Japan Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 66.67% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = -0.3%. A price movement of 19 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Mar 10:30

19 Jun 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).