Based on past Japan Unemployment Rate news events there is a 87.5% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 2.8%. A price movement of 15 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Oct 09:30	30 Jul 09:30
30 Apr 09:30	30 Mar 10:30
02 Mar 10:30	29 Jan 10:30
25 Dec 10:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).