Based on past Japan Unemployment Rate news events there is a 75% chance of USDCHF trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 2.5%. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Nov 10:30	28 Jun 09:30
31 May 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).