Based on past Japan Unemployment Rate news events there is a 66.67% chance of EURUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 3%. A price movement of 81 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 May 09:30	31 Jan 10:30
27 Dec 10:30	01 Oct 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).