Based on past New Zealand Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of NZDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 75 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Feb 12:00	25 Sep 12:00
26 Jun 12:00	08 May 12:00
13 Feb 12:00	27 Sep 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).