Trade with an edge around todays Switzerland Consumer Confidence news event

Based on past Switzerland Consumer Confidence news events there is a 71.43% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 6. A price movement of 27 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 May 07:00
15 Apr 09:30
04 Nov 06:45
03 May 05:45
02 Aug 05:45