Based on past Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decison news events there is a 66.67% chance of USDCHF trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = -0.75%. A price movement of 141 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jun 17:30	25 Mar 19:30
17 Dec 19:30	24 Sep 17:30
18 Jun 17:30	19 Mar 19:30
12 Dec 19:30	13 Dec 19:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).