We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decison news events there is a 81.82% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 0.5%. A price movement of 57 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Mar 19:30	16 Dec 19:30
23 Sep 17:30	25 Mar 19:30
17 Dec 19:30	24 Sep 17:30
19 Mar 19:30	12 Dec 19:30
19 Sep 17:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).