Trade with an edge around todays United Kingdom Balance of Trade news event

We expect USDCHF to trend upwards for the next 48 hours. Based on these past United Kingdom Balance of Trade news events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < £-11.7B. A price movement of 79 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Aug 16:00
13 Jul 16:00
12 May 16:00
11 Mar 18:00
10 Sep 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).