Based on past United Kingdom Claimant Count Change news events there is a 71.43% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 250K. A price movement of 98 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Mar 20:30	18 Feb 20:30
21 Jan 20:30	10 Sep 18:30
13 Aug 18:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).