Trade with an edge around todays United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final news event

Based on past United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final news events there is a 80% chance of NZDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = -2%. A price movement of 26 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Sep 18:30
28 Jun 18:30
29 Mar 20:30
28 Sep 18:30
29 Mar 19:30
22 Dec 20:30
29 Sep 18:30
30 Jun 18:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).