Trade with an edge around todays United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news event

Based on past United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news events there is a 75% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > -7. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 May 23:01
19 Mar 00:01
19 Feb 00:01
22 Jan 00:01
18 Dec 00:01
24 Sep 23:01