Trade with an edge around todays United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news event

Based on past United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news events there is a 80% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < -15. A price movement of 12 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Sep 23:01
19 Aug 23:01
24 Jun 23:01
22 Apr 23:01