Trade with an edge around todays United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY news event

Based on past United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 80% chance of EURUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 0.9%. A price movement of 88 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Jan 20:30
13 Nov 20:30
16 Oct 19:30
18 Sep 18:30
22 May 18:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).