Based on past United States Adp Employment Change news events there is a 75% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. A price movement of 28 could occur if the released value is < 300K. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 May 22:15	03 Feb 00:15
04 Aug 22:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).