Trade with an edge around todays United States Adp Employment Change news event

Based on past United States Adp Employment Change news events there is a 71.43% chance of EURUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 200K. A price movement of 28 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Aug 12:15
30 Mar 12:15
05 Jan 13:15
03 Nov 12:15
06 Oct 12:15