Based on past United States Adp Employment Change news events there is a 71.43% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 650K. A price movement of 75 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Sep 22:15	03 Jun 22:15
01 Apr 23:15	05 Mar 00:15
09 Jan 00:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).