Trade with an edge around todays United States Adp Employment Change news event

Based on past United States Adp Employment Change news events there is a 71.43% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 207K. A price movement of 25 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jan 13:15
01 Dec 13:15
06 Oct 12:15
30 Jun 12:15
03 Feb 13:15