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Based on past United States Balance of Trade news events there is a 72.73% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < $-74.5B. A price movement of 35 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
07 Apr 22:30![]() |
06 Mar 00:30![]() |
06 Feb 00:30![]() |
05 Nov 00:30![]() |
06 Oct 23:30![]() |
02 Jul 22:30![]() |
04 Jun 22:30![]() |
05 May 22:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).