Trade with an edge around todays United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 75% chance of USDCHF trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 16476K. A price movement of 82 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Apr 22:30
02 Apr 23:30
19 Mar 23:30
12 Mar 23:30
14 Feb 00:30
31 Jan 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).