Based on past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 66.67% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 11400K. A price movement of 42 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Aug 22:30	06 Aug 22:30
23 Jul 22:30	16 Jul 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).