Based on past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 75% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 5200K. A price movement of 31 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Jan 00:30	24 Dec 00:30
18 Dec 00:30	04 Dec 00:30
13 Nov 00:30	15 Oct 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).