Based on past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 75% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 19238K. A price movement of 136 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Apr 22:30	02 Apr 23:30
19 Mar 23:30	12 Mar 23:30
06 Mar 00:30	14 Feb 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).