Trade with an edge around todays United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 71.43% chance of USDCAD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 1733K. A price movement of 27 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Dec 13:30
16 Dec 13:30
02 Dec 13:30
18 Nov 13:30
04 Nov 12:30