Trade with an edge around todays United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

We expect a $515 movement on USDCHF within the next 2 hours. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States release because the released value is > 1438K. A price movement of 49 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Aug 12:30
04 Aug 12:30
30 Jun 12:30
16 Jun 12:30
09 Jun 12:30