Trade with an edge around todays United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 1665K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Feb 00:30
03 Feb 00:30
06 Jan 00:30
23 Dec 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).