Based on past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 66.67% chance of USDCHF trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 18950K. A price movement of 53 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Jun 22:30	28 May 22:30
14 May 22:30	30 Apr 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).