Trade with an edge around todays United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 66.67% chance of USDCAD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 15898K. A price movement of 21 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jul 12:30
02 Jul 12:30
18 Jun 12:30
11 Jun 12:30