Based on past United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news events there is a 66.67% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 0.2%. A price movement of 48 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jul 22:30	27 May 22:30
24 Mar 23:30	28 Jan 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).