Trade with an edge around todays United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on past United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of USDCHF trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 40 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jul 18:00
10 Jun 18:00
29 Apr 18:00
29 Jan 19:00
11 Dec 19:00
30 Oct 18:00
19 Jun 18:00
20 Mar 18:00