Based on past United States Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 75% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. A price movement of 50 could occur if the released value is = 8.1%.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Mar 00:30	13 Jan 00:30
11 Dec 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).