Trade with an edge around todays United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news event

Based on past United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events there is a 75% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 43. A price movement of 24 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 May 14:00
03 Feb 15:00
01 Jul 14:00