Based on past United States ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI news events there is a 75% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 61. A price movement of 19 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jan 02:00	07 Jul 00:00
04 Mar 02:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).