Trade with an edge around todays United States New Home Sales news event

Based on past United States New Home Sales news events there is a 75% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 0.645M. A price movement of 13 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Feb 02:00
25 Oct 01:00
26 Sep 00:00
24 Aug 00:00
25 Jul 00:00
24 Apr 00:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).