Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a 76 pip movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2023-01-07 00:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2023-01-07 00:30 if the released value is > 200K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Dec 00:30	07 Oct 23:30
05 Aug 22:30	08 Jul 22:30
03 Jun 22:30	06 May 22:30
05 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).