Trade with an edge around todays United States Non Farm Payrolls news event

Based on past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 80% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 50K. A price movement of 73 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jan 13:30
02 Oct 12:30
04 Sep 12:30
03 Apr 12:30