Based on past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 85.71% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 700K. A price movement of 66 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Jun 22:30	07 May 22:30
06 Feb 00:30	05 Dec 00:30
02 Oct 22:30	04 Sep 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).