Based on past United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index news events there is a 71.43% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. A price movement of 35 could occur if the released value is < 21. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 00:30	17 Dec 00:30
21 Oct 23:30	15 Jul 22:30
17 Jun 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).