Based on past United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index news events there is a 75% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. A price movement of 148 could occur if the released value is < 16. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Apr 22:30	18 Feb 00:30
17 Dec 00:30	21 Oct 23:30
15 Jul 22:30	17 Jun 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).