Trade with an edge around todays United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index news event

Based on past United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index news events there is a 83.33% chance of RTY trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 20. A price movement of 2,814 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Nov 13:30
16 Sep 12:30
15 Apr 12:30
18 Feb 13:30
21 Jan 13:30