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This Wednesday 04 Aug at 12:15 PM GMT the latest US ADP Employment Change number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 75% probability that GBPUSD will trend down following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US ADP Employment Change events, in which 6 of the last 8 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of GBPUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Wednesday 05 May at 12:15 PM GMT:

Wednesday 03 Mar at 01:15 PM GMT:

Wednesday 06 Jan at 01:15 PM GMT:

Wednesday 02 Dec at 01:15 PM GMT:

Wednesday 04 Nov at 01:15 PM GMT:

Wednesday 02 Sep at 12:15 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance